Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 57 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Toews 57.9% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 78-40 in 118 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 97.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 91.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 98.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 96.3%
96.3%
3.7%
Stepan
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
78
(118 meetings)
40
78
Stepan
Toews
Last 10: Stepan 0-10 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
14
43
Stepan
Toews
57 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
11
16
Stepan
Toews
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
15
19
Stepan
Toews
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
57.2% (13,047)
-10.7%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
63.3% (3,252)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
53.6% (1,810)
-9.4%
On power play, Toews has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Home / Away
Stepan
Toews
Home
47.6% (6,608)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Stepan
Toews
P1
47.5%
58.6%
P2
45.6%
57.8%
P3
46.8%
57.3%
OT
40.7%
58.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 16:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |