Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Khaira 46.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 74.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 50.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Stepan
Khaira
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stepan
Khaira
Last 7: Stepan 5-2 Khaira
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
2
Stepan
Khaira
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Khaira
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Khaira
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
45.5% (325)
+1.5%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
36.4% (11)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
46.8% (47)
+0.4%
On power play, Stepan has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khaira shoots left. Stepan is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,079).
Stepan shoots right. Khaira is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Stepan
Khaira
Home
48.2% (761)
45.5% (198)
Away
47.3% (789)
45.4% (185)
By Period
Stepan
Khaira
P1
46.3%
45.9%
P2
50.4%
41.3%
P3
46.3%
48.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |