Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Khaira shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Khaira 51.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 65.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 75.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 58.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Stepan
Khaira
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stepan
Khaira
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Khaira
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Khaira
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Khaira
0
1
Stepan
Khaira
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Khaira
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
55.6% (81)
-1.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
38.9% (18)
+25.8%
On power play, Khaira has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khaira shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Khaira is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Stepan
Khaira
Home
54.5% (222)
53.5% (43)
Away
57.2% (222)
51.7% (58)
By Period
Stepan
Khaira
P1
57.5%
48.1%
P2
54.7%
50.0%
P3
55.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |