Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Khaira shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Khaira 48.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 70.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 69.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Stepan
Khaira
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stepan
Khaira
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Khaira
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Khaira
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Khaira
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
50.2% (251)
+5.1%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
52.6% (19)
-52.6%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
37.5% (48)
+13.3%
On power play, Khaira has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khaira shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Khaira is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Stepan
Khaira
Home
57.7% (213)
48.0% (150)
Away
50.7% (209)
48.8% (168)
By Period
Stepan
Khaira
P1
56.3%
51.0%
P2
48.9%
50.9%
P3
57.1%
43.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |