Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Khaira on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 50.0% vs Khaira 46.2% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 58.8%
Defensive zone
Khaira 79.4%
Neutral zone
Khaira 54.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Stepan
Khaira
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stepan
Khaira
Last 5: Stepan 2-3 Khaira
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Khaira
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Khaira
1
2
Stepan
Khaira
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Khaira
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (207)
47.5% (316)
+5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
33.3% (60)
-3.7%
On even strength, Stepan has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khaira shoots left. Stepan is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Stepan shoots right. Khaira is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Stepan
Khaira
Home
46.0% (113)
46.5% (170)
Away
53.1% (147)
44.2% (208)
By Period
Stepan
Khaira
P1
48.5%
53.7%
P2
49.4%
44.6%
P3
52.6%
37.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
50.0%
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:11 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 01:38 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |