Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 53.5%). Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dauphin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Dauphin 52.1% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 51.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 50.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 54.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Stepan
Dauphin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Dauphin
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
53.3% (152)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
60.0% (5)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Dauphin has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dauphin shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Dauphin is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Stepan
Dauphin
Home
57.7% (213)
52.9% (87)
Away
50.7% (209)
54.3% (70)
By Period
Stepan
Dauphin
P1
56.3%
59.0%
P2
48.9%
46.8%
P3
57.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
53.5%