Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Couture 48.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 27-20 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 60.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 51.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Stepan
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
27
(47 meetings)
20
27
Stepan
Couture
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
6
9
Stepan
Couture
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
11
5
Stepan
Couture
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
3
13
Stepan
Couture
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
48.8% (8,919)
-2.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
54.6% (624)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
39.8% (992)
+4.4%
On power play, Couture has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Home / Away
Stepan
Couture
Home
47.6% (6,608)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Stepan
Couture
P1
47.5%
47.9%
P2
45.6%
47.9%
P3
46.8%
49.2%
OT
40.7%
48.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Logan Couture |