Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Couture 47.6% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 53.0%
Defensive zone
Couture 59.1%
Neutral zone
Couture 52.5%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Stepan
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stepan
Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Stepan
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
49.2% (1,083)
+6.1%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
56.7% (60)
-56.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
35.4% (206)
+15.4%
On power play, Couture has a +56.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Stepan
Couture
Home
57.7% (213)
49.6% (713)
Away
50.7% (209)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Stepan
Couture
P1
56.3%
47.2%
P2
48.9%
45.0%
P3
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Logan Couture |