Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Couture 48.8% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 58.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 51.0%
Neutral zone
Couture 54.9%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Stepan
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stepan
Couture
Last 5: Stepan 2-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Stepan
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Stepan
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
48.7% (986)
+5.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
58.5% (94)
-58.5%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
44.1% (195)
+20.6%
On power play, Couture has a +58.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Couture is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Stepan
Couture
Home
54.5% (222)
47.2% (625)
Away
57.2% (222)
50.2% (650)
By Period
Stepan
Couture
P1
57.5%
46.8%
P2
54.7%
49.8%
P3
55.9%
49.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |