Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.5% vs Couture 50.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 68.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 68.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 69.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Stepan
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Stepan
Couture
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
3
4
Stepan
Couture
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
3
Stepan
Couture
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Stepan
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (1,141)
51.0% (839)
-7.2%
Power Play
52.2% (253)
54.2% (48)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
39.7% (63)
+3.5%
On even strength, Couture has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Stepan is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,028).
Stepan shoots right. Couture is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Stepan
Couture
Home
47.8% (828)
51.3% (462)
Away
42.0% (684)
49.6% (488)
By Period
Stepan
Couture
P1
49.5%
54.4%
P2
42.0%
49.4%
P3
44.3%
46.9%
OT
41.2%
58.8%
Final 5 min
47.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Logan Couture |