Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Stepan wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 44.5% vs Glendening 51.7% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Glendening leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 94.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 66.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 83.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Stepan
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Stepan
Glendening
Last 10: Stepan 1-9 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Glendening
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
6
Stepan
Glendening
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
2
Stepan
Glendening
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (942)
56.1% (675)
-12.6%
Power Play
48.1% (162)
61.1% (18)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (128)
40.5% (269)
+2.5%
On power play, Glendening has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Stepan is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Stepan shoots right. Glendening is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Stepan
Glendening
Home
45.6% (629)
51.6% (496)
Away
42.5% (603)
52.1% (466)
By Period
Stepan
Glendening
P1
44.7%
53.0%
P2
43.7%
50.8%
P3
43.9%
51.8%
OT
40.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |