Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Glendening 57.8% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 59.4%
Defensive zone
Glendening 80.1%
Neutral zone
Glendening 59.9%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Stepan
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stepan
Glendening
Last 5: Stepan 3-2 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Glendening
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
2
Stepan
Glendening
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
60.5% (428)
-5.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
66.7% (6)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
55.2% (174)
-4.4%
On power play, Glendening has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Glendening is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Stepan
Glendening
Home
57.7% (213)
59.0% (293)
Away
50.7% (209)
59.0% (315)
By Period
Stepan
Glendening
P1
56.3%
61.5%
P2
48.9%
59.1%
P3
57.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
66.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |