Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Glendening 57.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 73.6%
Defensive zone
Glendening 52.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 51.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Stepan
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stepan
Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Stepan
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
61.5% (535)
-7.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
60.0% (10)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
50.3% (179)
+14.4%
On power play, Glendening has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Glendening is 67.5% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Stepan
Glendening
Home
54.5% (222)
59.7% (365)
Away
57.2% (222)
57.7% (359)
By Period
Stepan
Glendening
P1
57.5%
65.3%
P2
54.7%
52.4%
P3
55.9%
58.7%
Final 5 min
57.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |