Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Glendening 55.2% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 83.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 62.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 74.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Stepan
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stepan
Glendening
Last 5: Stepan 1-4 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Stepan
Glendening
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Stepan
Glendening
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
2
Stepan
Glendening
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
56.9% (961)
-10.1%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
53.1% (32)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
49.7% (189)
-1.4%
On even strength, Glendening has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Stepan is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Stepan shoots right. Glendening is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Stepan
Glendening
Home
48.6% (666)
57.0% (588)
Away
46.1% (710)
54.4% (594)
By Period
Stepan
Glendening
P1
46.3%
54.6%
P2
50.7%
56.0%
P3
45.5%
56.3%
OT
39.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |