Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.1% vs Johansson 44.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 53.7%
Defensive zone
Johansson 60.3%
Neutral zone
Johansson 60.6%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Stepan
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stepan
Johansson
Last 5: Stepan 1-4 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
0
1
Stepan
Johansson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
0
2
Stepan
Johansson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Johansson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (680)
43.2% (576)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
42.9% (112)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (57)
28.6% (7)
+1.2%
On power play, Stepan has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Stepan is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Stepan shoots right. Johansson is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Stepan
Johansson
Home
45.6% (463)
44.2% (360)
Away
43.3% (404)
42.3% (350)
By Period
Stepan
Johansson
P1
50.2%
46.2%
P2
39.4%
42.6%
P3
45.7%
41.3%
OT
38.9%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2012 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |