Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Johansson 48.0% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 53.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 80.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 70.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Stepan
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stepan
Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Johansson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
46.3% (41)
+9.0%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
25.0% (8)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
66.7% (3)
-15.9%
On power play, Johansson has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Johansson is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Stepan
Johansson
Home
57.7% (213)
40.9% (22)
Away
50.7% (209)
46.7% (30)
By Period
Stepan
Johansson
P1
56.3%
50.0%
P2
48.9%
45.0%
P3
57.1%
30.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |