Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Johansson 46.0% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 56.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 92.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 68.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 92.5%
92.5%
7.5%
Stepan
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stepan
Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Johansson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
40.7% (54)
+13.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
43.2% (44)
-43.2%
On power play, Johansson has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Johansson is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Stepan
Johansson
Home
54.5% (222)
44.2% (52)
Away
57.2% (222)
39.1% (46)
By Period
Stepan
Johansson
P1
57.5%
37.1%
P2
54.7%
34.6%
P3
55.9%
52.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |