Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 46.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Johansson 48.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 50.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 59.6%
Neutral zone
Johansson 56.0%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Stepan
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stepan
Johansson
Last 5: Stepan 3-2 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Johansson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Johansson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Johansson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
42.6% (68)
+5.4%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
70.0% (10)
-33.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
44.4% (9)
-2.8%
On power play, Johansson has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Stepan shoots right. Johansson is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Stepan
Johansson
Home
47.4% (460)
48.8% (41)
Away
44.5% (517)
43.5% (46)
By Period
Stepan
Johansson
P1
50.3%
48.4%
P2
38.4%
48.1%
P3
49.4%
39.3%
OT
27.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |