Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Kastelic 54.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 60.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 55.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Stepan
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stepan
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Stepan
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
56.5% (115)
-2.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
100.0% (3)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
100.0% (2)
-35.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Kastelic is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
Stepan
Kastelic
Home
54.5% (222)
54.8% (73)
Away
57.2% (222)
63.8% (47)
By Period
Stepan
Kastelic
P1
57.5%
50.0%
P2
54.7%
62.5%
P3
55.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |