Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Duchene 52.1% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 80.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Stepan
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
53.9% (193)
+1.4%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
49.2% (65)
-49.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
100.0% (1)
-49.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +49.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Stepan
Duchene
Home
57.7% (213)
54.9% (113)
Away
50.7% (209)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Stepan
Duchene
P1
56.3%
54.9%
P2
48.9%
52.7%
P3
57.1%
51.9%
Final 5 min
57.6%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%