Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Backlund 50.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 21-7 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 83.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 56.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 62.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Stepan
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
21
(28 meetings)
7
21
Stepan
Backlund
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
5
Stepan
Backlund
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
4
Stepan
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
12
Stepan
Backlund
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
51.1% (1,070)
-4.1%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
50.5% (91)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
45.2% (248)
+2.0%
On even strength, Backlund has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Stepan is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,079).
Stepan shoots right. Backlund is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Stepan
Backlund
Home
48.2% (761)
49.3% (702)
Away
47.3% (789)
50.7% (708)
By Period
Stepan
Backlund
P1
46.3%
46.3%
P2
50.4%
53.8%
P3
46.3%
49.9%
OT
55.2%
45.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 05:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |