Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Backlund 50.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 52.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 51.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Stepan
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stepan
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Stepan
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
51.9% (1,083)
+3.4%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
51.7% (120)
-51.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
44.3% (183)
+6.5%
On power play, Backlund has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Stepan
Backlund
Home
57.7% (213)
51.9% (673)
Away
50.7% (209)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Stepan
Backlund
P1
56.3%
51.4%
P2
48.9%
50.5%
P3
57.1%
51.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |