Derek Stepan vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 36 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Backlund 49.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 63-49 in 112 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 71.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 52.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 61.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Stepan
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
63
(112 meetings)
49
63
Stepan
Backlund
Last 10: Stepan 8-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
22
16
Stepan
Backlund
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
12
24
Stepan
Backlund
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
15
23
Stepan
Backlund
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
49.7% (13,410)
-3.2%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
51.6% (1,336)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
44.0% (2,446)
+0.2%
On even strength, Backlund has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Home / Away
Stepan
Backlund
Home
47.6% (6,608)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Stepan
Backlund
P1
47.5%
48.5%
P2
45.6%
50.3%
P3
46.8%
48.4%
OT
40.7%
44.1%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 01:45 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |