Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.0% vs Granlund 48.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 53.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 62.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 61.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Stepan
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stepan
Granlund
Last 7: Stepan 2-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Stepan
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
3
Stepan
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (889)
47.8% (959)
-1.2%
Power Play
46.9% (113)
54.7% (95)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
58.1% (31)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Stepan is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Stepan shoots right. Granlund is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Stepan
Granlund
Home
47.7% (555)
50.5% (548)
Away
45.6% (548)
46.7% (537)
By Period
Stepan
Granlund
P1
46.4%
51.1%
P2
45.7%
49.1%
P3
48.5%
46.6%
OT
35.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 07:08 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |