Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Granlund 47.4% (+8.7%)
Offensive zone
Granlund 55.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 59.1%
Neutral zone
Granlund 50.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Stepan
Granlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
47.7% (1,001)
+6.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
53.4% (73)
-53.4%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
40.2% (132)
+24.5%
On power play, Granlund has a +53.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Granlund is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Stepan
Granlund
Home
54.5% (222)
45.9% (582)
Away
57.2% (222)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Stepan
Granlund
P1
57.5%
48.6%
P2
54.7%
46.7%
P3
55.9%
46.9%
Final 5 min
57.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%