Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Granlund 45.7% (+9.8%)
Offensive zone
Granlund 51.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 51.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 50.4%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Stepan
Granlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
46.8% (295)
+8.5%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
38.5% (26)
-38.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
36.5% (63)
+14.3%
On power play, Granlund has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Granlund is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Stepan
Granlund
Home
57.7% (213)
47.8% (178)
Away
50.7% (209)
41.7% (206)
By Period
Stepan
Granlund
P1
56.3%
44.7%
P2
48.9%
42.9%
P3
57.1%
45.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.5%