Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 25-23 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 58.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 52.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Stepan
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
25
(48 meetings)
23
25
Stepan
Bjugstad
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
5
9
Stepan
Bjugstad
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
7
4
Stepan
Bjugstad
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
11
12
Stepan
Bjugstad
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
48.6% (6,634)
-2.1%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
55.2% (829)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
44.3% (614)
-0.1%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Home / Away
Stepan
Bjugstad
Home
47.6% (6,608)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Stepan
Bjugstad
P1
47.5%
49.0%
P2
45.6%
49.1%
P3
46.8%
48.4%
OT
40.7%
61.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 07:24 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 03:07 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |