Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 68.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 72.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Stepan
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
49.4% (867)
+5.9%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
56.0% (25)
-56.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
40.7% (216)
+10.1%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Stepan
Bjugstad
Home
57.7% (213)
46.5% (480)
Away
50.7% (209)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Stepan
Bjugstad
P1
56.3%
48.7%
P2
48.9%
45.6%
P3
57.1%
49.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%