Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Bonino 53.9% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 53.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 87.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 80.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Stepan
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stepan
Bonino
Last 6: Stepan 4-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Stepan
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
56.4% (771)
-9.4%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
60.0% (30)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
43.8% (169)
+3.4%
On even strength, Bonino has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Stepan is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,079).
Stepan shoots right. Bonino is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Stepan
Bonino
Home
48.2% (761)
56.5% (531)
Away
47.3% (789)
51.7% (439)
By Period
Stepan
Bonino
P1
46.3%
56.7%
P2
50.4%
48.1%
P3
46.3%
58.0%
OT
55.2%
52.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 09:08 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |