Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Bonino 50.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 47-35 in 82 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 82.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 56.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 68.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Stepan
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
47
(82 meetings)
35
47
Stepan
Bonino
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
19
14
Stepan
Bonino
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
9
18
Stepan
Bonino
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
7
15
Stepan
Bonino
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
50.6% (8,315)
-4.1%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
54.1% (972)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
44.6% (1,693)
-0.4%
On power play, Bonino has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Stepan
Bonino
Home
47.6% (6,608)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Stepan
Bonino
P1
47.5%
50.6%
P2
45.6%
48.5%
P3
46.8%
51.1%
OT
40.7%
45.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |