Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Bonino 48.5% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 55.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 61.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Stepan
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stepan
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Stepan
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
48.1% (324)
+7.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
57.9% (38)
-57.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
44.3% (88)
+6.5%
On power play, Bonino has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Stepan
Bonino
Home
57.7% (213)
52.0% (244)
Away
50.7% (209)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Stepan
Bonino
P1
56.3%
48.0%
P2
48.9%
42.9%
P3
57.1%
53.9%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |