Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 50.0% vs Suzuki 44.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 76.4%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 60.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 61.6%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Stepan
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Stepan
Suzuki
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Stepan
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Stepan
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (207)
43.8% (623)
+8.9%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
48.1% (129)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
34.1% (44)
-4.5%
On even strength, Stepan has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Stepan is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Stepan shoots right. Suzuki is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Stepan
Suzuki
Home
46.0% (113)
44.8% (364)
Away
53.1% (147)
43.3% (432)
By Period
Stepan
Suzuki
P1
48.5%
45.8%
P2
49.4%
42.3%
P3
52.6%
43.8%
Final 5 min
46.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
50.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |