Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 57.6%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 50.6%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 50.6%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Stepan
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stepan
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Stepan
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
47.0% (1,066)
+8.3%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
49.5% (204)
-49.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
46.6% (131)
+4.2%
On power play, Suzuki has a +49.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Suzuki is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Stepan
Suzuki
Home
57.7% (213)
49.4% (686)
Away
50.7% (209)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Stepan
Suzuki
P1
56.3%
45.6%
P2
48.9%
46.9%
P3
57.1%
49.8%
Final 5 min
57.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |