Derek Stepan vs Nicklas Backstrom
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.1% vs Backstrom 50.9% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 61.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 62.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 61.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Stepan
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stepan
Backstrom
Last 6: Stepan 2-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Stepan
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Stepan
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (680)
49.0% (496)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
55.6% (151)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (57)
57.9% (38)
-28.1%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Stepan is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Stepan shoots right. Backstrom is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Stepan
Backstrom
Home
45.6% (463)
53.5% (368)
Away
43.3% (404)
48.3% (323)
By Period
Stepan
Backstrom
P1
50.2%
49.1%
P2
39.4%
51.0%
P3
45.7%
53.5%
OT
38.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |