Derek Stepan vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 83 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Backstrom 50.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 144-108 in 252 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 70.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 71.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 70.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Stepan
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
108
-
144
(252 meetings)
108
144
Stepan
Backstrom
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
32
51
Stepan
Backstrom
83 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
39
42
Stepan
Backstrom
81 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
37
51
Stepan
Backstrom
88 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
50.4% (11,581)
-3.9%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
52.3% (1,895)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
47.0% (889)
-2.8%
On even strength, Backstrom has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Backstrom is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (5,430).
Home / Away
Stepan
Backstrom
Home
47.6% (6,608)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Stepan
Backstrom
P1
47.5%
50.1%
P2
45.6%
49.7%
P3
46.8%
51.6%
OT
40.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |