Derek Stepan vs Nicklas Backstrom
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Backstrom 50.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 59.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 79.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 60.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Stepan
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Stepan
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
51.4% (473)
+3.9%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
39.5% (38)
-39.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
33.3% (3)
+17.5%
On power play, Backstrom has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Stepan
Backstrom
Home
57.7% (213)
53.6% (278)
Away
50.7% (209)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Stepan
Backstrom
P1
56.3%
51.5%
P2
48.9%
56.0%
P3
57.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |