Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Sundqvist 45.8% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 60.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 65.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 56.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Stepan
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stepan
Sundqvist
Last 5: Stepan 3-2 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
2
Stepan
Sundqvist
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
35.7% (42)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
50.0% (2)
-12.1%
On even strength, Stepan has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Stepan is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Stepan shoots right. Sundqvist is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Stepan
Sundqvist
Home
46.4% (774)
37.5% (8)
Away
47.7% (748)
36.1% (36)
By Period
Stepan
Sundqvist
P1
46.7%
43.8%
P2
46.3%
21.4%
P3
48.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |