Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Sundqvist 47.2% (+11.4%)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 59.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 66.9%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 50.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Stepan
Sundqvist
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
48.8% (43)
+6.5%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
35.3% (17)
-35.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
0.0% (3)
+50.8%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Sundqvist is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Stepan
Sundqvist
Home
57.7% (213)
50.0% (34)
Away
50.7% (209)
34.5% (29)
By Period
Stepan
Sundqvist
P1
56.3%
50.0%
P2
48.9%
38.9%
P3
57.1%
41.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
35.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.9%