Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Sundqvist 44.3% (+14.7%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 53.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 70.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Stepan
Sundqvist
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
46.8% (154)
+7.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
0.0% (7)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
14.3% (21)
+50.4%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +50.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Sundqvist is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Stepan
Sundqvist
Home
54.5% (222)
42.3% (97)
Away
57.2% (222)
40.0% (85)
By Period
Stepan
Sundqvist
P1
57.5%
46.0%
P2
54.7%
45.9%
P3
55.9%
32.1%
Final 5 min
57.5%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.2%