Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Brown 51.9% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 51.0%
Defensive zone
Brown 66.2%
Neutral zone
Brown 59.3%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Stepan
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Stepan
Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Stepan
Brown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Stepan
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
52.8% (284)
+2.5%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
75.0% (4)
-75.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
49.0% (51)
+1.8%
On power play, Brown has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Brown is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Stepan
Brown
Home
57.7% (213)
53.5% (144)
Away
50.7% (209)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Stepan
Brown
P1
56.3%
49.0%
P2
48.9%
48.7%
P3
57.1%
58.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |