Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 50.0% vs Stastny 54.0% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 90.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 52.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 65.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
Stepan
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Stepan
Stastny
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
3
Stepan
Stastny
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (207)
52.5% (432)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
60.4% (154)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
66.7% (6)
-37.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Stepan is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Stepan shoots right. Stastny is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Stepan
Stastny
Home
46.0% (113)
58.3% (307)
Away
53.1% (147)
50.9% (285)
By Period
Stepan
Stastny
P1
48.5%
57.4%
P2
49.4%
51.7%
P3
52.6%
54.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
50.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 05:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:08 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |