Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Stastny 56.3% (-3.3%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 75.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 66.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 51.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Stepan
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
57.5% (412)
-2.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
60.0% (65)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
44.4% (9)
+6.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Stepan
Stastny
Home
57.7% (213)
58.3% (276)
Away
50.7% (209)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Stepan
Stastny
P1
56.3%
63.7%
P2
48.9%
57.3%
P3
57.1%
50.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%