Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 56.6%). Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Stastny 55.4% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 63.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 71.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 55.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Stepan
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
59.2% (370)
-4.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
40.9% (44)
-40.9%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
51.7% (58)
+13.0%
On power play, Stastny has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Stepan
Stastny
Home
54.5% (222)
57.7% (215)
Away
57.2% (222)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Stepan
Stastny
P1
57.5%
57.7%
P2
54.7%
54.2%
P3
55.9%
57.7%
Final 5 min
57.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%