Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +20.6% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Krebs 40.7% (+20.6%)
Offensive zone
Krebs 52.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 77.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 55.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Stepan
Krebs
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
33.3% (159)
+21.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
61.5% (13)
-61.5%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
0.0% (1)
+64.7%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +64.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Krebs is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Stepan
Krebs
Home
54.5% (222)
37.0% (81)
Away
57.2% (222)
33.7% (92)
By Period
Stepan
Krebs
P1
57.5%
39.0%
P2
54.7%
32.8%
P3
55.9%
33.9%
Final 5 min
57.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
35.3%