Scouting Report
Rasmus Kupari holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kupari on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Kupari 50.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 69.4%
Defensive zone
Kupari 54.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Stepan
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stepan
Kupari
Last 5: Stepan 2-3 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Kupari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
1
Stepan
Kupari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kupari
1
2
Stepan
Kupari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
50.5% (1,275)
-4.0%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
43.5% (23)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
50.4% (139)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Kupari has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Kupari is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Stepan
Kupari
Home
47.6% (6,608)
51.4% (782)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
49.2% (655)
By Period
Stepan
Kupari
P1
47.5%
49.9%
P2
45.6%
48.5%
P3
46.8%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2021 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |