Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.4%). Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Stepan wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Nash 48.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 71.0%
Defensive zone
Nash 59.5%
Neutral zone
Nash 55.9%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Stepan
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Stepan
Nash
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
2
5
Stepan
Nash
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Stepan
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
47.7% (801)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
51.2% (41)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
52.3% (107)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Stepan is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stepan shoots right. Nash is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Stepan
Nash
Home
48.2% (761)
50.1% (467)
Away
47.3% (789)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Stepan
Nash
P1
46.3%
52.1%
P2
50.4%
44.9%
P3
46.3%
47.3%
OT
55.2%
63.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 14:44 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | Riley Nash |