Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Nash 51.7% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 68.0%
Defensive zone
Nash 54.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Stepan
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
54.1% (292)
+0.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
57.1% (7)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
45.9% (98)
+18.8%
On power play, Nash has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Nash is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Stepan
Nash
Home
54.5% (222)
56.3% (183)
Away
57.2% (222)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Stepan
Nash
P1
57.5%
58.9%
P2
54.7%
51.0%
P3
55.9%
46.5%
Final 5 min
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%