Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Nash 48.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 27-23 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 63.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 53.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Stepan
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
27
(50 meetings)
23
27
Stepan
Nash
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Stepan
Nash
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
6
16
Stepan
Nash
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
10
4
Stepan
Nash
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
48.7% (4,621)
-2.2%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
51.0% (249)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
44.9% (550)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Stepan
Nash
Home
47.6% (6,608)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Stepan
Nash
P1
47.5%
49.0%
P2
45.6%
47.9%
P3
46.8%
48.0%
OT
40.7%
68.4%
Final 5 min
47.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 11:24 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 17:01 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 14:44 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Riley Nash |