Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+8.9%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 68.0%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 61.0%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 53.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Stepan
Sheahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
50.7% (357)
+3.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (8)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
40.2% (194)
+24.5%
On power play, Sheahan has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Sheahan is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Stepan
Sheahan
Home
54.5% (222)
44.8% (248)
Away
57.2% (222)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Stepan
Sheahan
P1
57.5%
46.2%
P2
54.7%
50.5%
P3
55.9%
44.7%
Final 5 min
57.5%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%