Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Sheahan 50.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Sheahan leads 23-17 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 82.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 52.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 60.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Stepan
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
23
(40 meetings)
17
23
Stepan
Sheahan
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
7
5
Stepan
Sheahan
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
6
11
Stepan
Sheahan
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
4
7
Stepan
Sheahan
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
51.0% (4,968)
-4.5%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
55.6% (322)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
44.3% (1,068)
-0.1%
On power play, Sheahan has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Sheahan is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,365).
Home / Away
Stepan
Sheahan
Home
47.6% (6,608)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Stepan
Sheahan
P1
47.5%
51.3%
P2
45.6%
51.2%
P3
46.8%
48.1%
OT
40.7%
35.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 26, 2019 | OT | 04:50 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 16:22 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |